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GamingNexus
#1 Posted : Thursday, July 10, 2008 1:00:00 AM Quote
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With E3 less than a week away it`s time to give my annual prognostications of what we`ll see at the show this year. Before we get into this years prognostications it`s a good idea to look back at last year`s article and see how I did. Here`s a list of the predictions from last year.


Large decrease in coverage due to fewer outlets being let in - Fail:Coverage dropped off a bit but not as much as everyone expected. Seems like everyone who should have gotten in got in.
Lots of complaints from journalists about the setup - Win: Faced with wandering around Santa Monica and a 30 minute trip to see games on the "show floor", journalists complained in droves
Does Sony get it right this year? - Win: A humble Sony blew everyone away with a solid showing and introduced a ton of good looking games like echochrome, inFamous, and more Killzone 2 footage
Price Drops - Fail: No big price drops were announced at the show last year
Alan Wake will have a strong showing and blow people away - Epic Fail: The game didn`t appear at the show in any form.
Games For Windows - Win: Microsoft made a decent push with Games for Windows, one that seems to have petered out for this years show
Nintendo`s discovers the Internet? - Semi Win - No centralized service but Mario Kart Wii had built in friends codes.
GameCock is going to get a lot of press will have some cool things but not enough to makeup for the lack of Kentia - Win: GameCock got a lot of press for their E3 Funeral but independent and small publishers were few and far between.
Casual games are every where - Win - This was kind of an easy one but with EA and other companies dedicating large portions of their press conferences to the genre there`s not doubt that casual was a big topic last year.


By my count I got six of nine correct for a 67% accuracy rate which puts me soundly in Michael Pachter territory. If any Wall Street analysts want to e-mail me about a job my e-mail address is at the top of the page and we can work something out. With that out of the way let`s get into the fun stuff.



Will Sony matches the Xbox 360 price cut? - With an Xbox 360 price cut all but officially confirmed there is now some pressure on Sony to match the price cut. But will Sony announce a price cut at E3 or wait until later this year? I`m still surprised Microsoft is cutting the price so far in advance of the holiday season as it seems a bit desperate but we`ll see if Sony feels a need to trim prices now or not. They still have the value add of the Blu Ray player but I`m not sure that`s much of a motivator anymore with Blu Ray movie sales failing to set the world on fire. I get the feeling that they want to hold the line on the price of the PS3 but they will probably make the cut to stay even with Microsoft from a perception point.

What will go on at the Activision event? - When we broke the news that Activision wasn`t going to be at E3 this year and that they were no longer a member of the ESRB I started wondering what Activision was going to do to get the word about their upcoming games. It turns out that Activision is having a press event and c...
DefunctGamer
#2 Posted : Thursday, July 10, 2008 8:46:05 AM Quote


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GamingNexus wrote:
Large decrease in coverage due to fewer outlets being let in - Fail:Coverage dropped off a bit but not as much as everyone expected. Seems like everyone who should have gotten in got in.<br/> Lots of complaints from journalists about the setup - Win: Faced with wandering around Santa Monica and a 30 minute trip to see games on the &quot;show floor&quot;, journalists complained in droves<br/> Does Sony get it right this year? - Win: A humble Sony blew everyone away with a solid showing and introduced a ton of good looking games like echochrome, inFamous, and more Killzone 2 footage<br/> Price Drops - Fail: No big price drops were announced at the show last year<br/> Alan Wake will have a strong showing and blow people away - Epic Fail: The game didn`t appear at the show in any form.<br/> Games For Windows - Win: Microsoft made a decent push with Games for Windows, one that seems to have petered out for this years show<br/> Nintendo`s discovers the Internet? - Semi Win - No centralized service but Mario Kart Wii had built in friends codes.<br/> GameCock is going to get a lot of press will have some cool things but not enough to makeup for the lack of Kentia - Win: GameCock got a lot of press for their E3 Funeral but independent and small publishers were few and far between.<br/> Casual games are every where - Win - This was kind of an easy one but with EA and other companies dedicating large portions of their press conferences to the genre there`s not doubt that casual was a big topic last year.<br/><br/><br/>By my count I got six of nine correct for a 67% accuracy rate which puts me soundly in Michael Pachter territory. If any Wall Street analysts want to e-mail me about a job my e-mail address is at the top of the page and we can work something out. With that out of the way let`s get into the fun stuff.<br/><br/><br/><br/>Will Sony matches the Xbox 360 price cut? - With an Xbox 360 price cut all but officially confirmed there is now some pressure on Sony to match the price cut. But will Sony announce a price cut at E3 or wait until later this year? I`m still surprised Microsoft is cutting the price so far in advance of the holiday season as it seems a bit desperate but we`ll see if Sony feels a need to trim prices now or not. They still have the value add of the Blu Ray player but I`m not sure that`s much of a motivator anymore with Blu Ray movie sales failing to set the world on fire. I get the feeling that they want to hold the line on the price of the PS3 but they will probably make the cut to stay even with Microsoft from a perception point.<br/><br/>What will go on at the Activision event? - When we broke the news that Activision wasn`t going to be at E3 this year and that they were no longer a member of the ESRB I started wondering what Activision was going to do to get the word about their upcoming games. It turns out that Activision is having a press event and c...


Okay, I hate to argue with your win/loss ratio, but I'm not sure you actually earned a full 66%. Let me explain ...

Price Drops: You say there were no price drops, yet I remember Sony dropping the price at E3. I suppose you could argue that they did it right before, however, the announcement was intended for E3. The only reason we knew about it was because of retailer adverts, just like the Xbox 360 this year.

Alan Wake: You're right, it wasn't playable and they didn't show a new trailer ... but it actually was at the Microsoft press conference. So, while it sucks it wasn't around much, it was in fact at the show in some some form.

Nintendo Discovers the Internet: Hmm, I'm not sure Mario Kart Wii counts. Especially since Pokemon Battle Revolution did exactly the same thing (online play via friend codes in the game) a month before E3. As far as I can tell Nintendo didn't change their tune, they just kept on doing exactly what they said they were going to do from day 1.
Randy Kalista
#3 Posted : Friday, July 11, 2008 11:13:15 AM Quote


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GamingNexus wrote:
Is PC Gaming going to be represented at all? - With Microsoft deciding to punt on Games for Windows at E3 this year (they held a smaller event a few weeks ago for select press) who will be showing off PC games at E3 this year? Toshiba is showing off their fancy new gaming laptop and EA has a new Crysis game to demo but outside of that and a few stragglers here and there the show is once again going to be dominated by consoles. I'm holding out hope that I've overlooked a few games but I'm not holding my breath.


Indeed, one of those stragglers will be CDV showing off their latest build of Sacred 2. Action RPG fans still have bibs around their necks from the meaty Diablo 3 gameplay video, but -- I think Sacred 2 will enjoy some halo effect since people will be hungry to get their hands on something, anything to sate their appetite for Diablo 3.

Besides, we know how Blizzard does it: You can see the storm coming from a looong ways off before it hits.

(But PC gaming only gets one-third of a point, since Sacred 2 will also be on 360 and PS3.)
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